This morning a terrified woman called me about her proposed vacation to Hawaii.
“If there’s going to be an attack,” she said, “maybe I’ll go. But I need to know so I can leave my daughter at home.”
I intern at a Congressman’s District Office, writing letters, stuffing envelopes, answering the phone. I have no security clearance even in the building where his office is located. So what am I supposed to tell this woman about defense and American foreign policy? I’m an international relations major, sure, but I’m not going to pretend that I can predict the future of East Asia.
Defense Secretary Robert Gates says we’re capable of defending against a missle attack against Hawaii. The real danger of a missle attack is the ensuing chaos — waves of panic as tourists and native Hawaiians alike scramble to flee the islands in anticipation of a second missile that could carry a nuclear warhead.
Hawaii would no longer become a happy place to vacation or live if it became apparent that North Korea was actually capable of sending its Taepodong-2 missles that far. Stability in East Asia would disappear overnight. Chances are Japan would nuclearize in response to a Korea that’s willing to attack.
Those consequences seem so much more vast than one woman worrying about cancelling her trip — and I really had no idea what to tell her. I gave her the public DoD and Homeland Secuirty numbers, and begged her to exercise good judgement. I told her that I, personally, would not put my child in that situation. Yet Hawaii isn’t exactly North Korea’s goal; The likelihood of anyone dying is super low given North Korea’s track record of sucking at missles, it’s outdated equipment, and an implicit understanding that if it does something that brash and stupid, East Asia, Russia, the United States will all follow with real force. The real concern, at least as I understand it, is that those missles that could potentially reach Hawaii would be sold to other countries whose enemies are much closer — Iran being the key example. We know North Korea has sold nukes in the past.
Her solution: go to the Bahamas instead.
Sounds like a great solution, unless you live in Hawaii. (Sorry, Angelie)
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